Forecasters unveil weather outlook for upcoming winter across US

NOAA predicting mild winter in New England – Boston News, Weather, Sports

According to NOAA, in ME, the three-month average snowfall in Portland, across December, January and February, is 14.8 inches, in Bangor 16.1 inches, and in Caribou, 23.4 inches. "The last cold winter that the country saw was back in 2013-14, and I'd expect MI to probably follow that pattern".

An overall mild winter is expected when it comes to temperatures, with most of the US expected to see warmer than normal temperatures, some much warmer than normal, according to the NOAA outlook from its Climate Prediction Center.

El Nino has a 70 to 75 percent chance of developing.

"That does not mean that below average temperatures can not occur", Mike Halpert, deputy director of NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, said in a statement. "During the winter, typical El Niño conditions in the US can include wetter-than-average precipitation in the South and drier conditions in parts of the North", according to NOAA.

Broadly speaking, "El Nino" refers to a climate effect caused by warming sea surface temperatures in parts of the Pacific Ocean. During the winter, typical El Nino conditions in the USA can include wetter-than-average precipitation in the South and drier conditions in parts of the North.

Other climate patterns that can affect winter weather are challenging to predict on a seasonal time scale.

California is likely to see hotter-than-average winter temperatures, while parts of Southern California could also get greater precipitation, according to NOAA. The greatest chance for warmer than normal winter weather is in Alaska, the Pacific Northwest, Montana, northern Wyoming and western North Dakota.

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-No part of the U.S.is favored to have below-average temperatures.

2018-19 Winter Outlook map for temperature.

The southern states of the USA, as well as those in the Mid-Atlantic, are expected to receive above-normal precipitation. Northern Florida and southern Georgia have the greatest odds for above-average precipitation during the winter, the NOAA said. The real teeth-chattering arrives mid-February especially in the following zones: "Northeast/New England, Great Lakes, Ohio Valley, Midwest, and Southeast (yes, even the Southeast will be in the chill zone!)".

NOAA's seasonal outlooks give the likelihood that temperatures and precipitation will be above-, near- or below-average, and how drought conditions are expected to change, but the outlook does not project seasonal snowfall accumulations.

Farmer's Almanac Editor Peter Geiger said in late August his publication predicts "a very long, cold and snow-filled winter".

"Even on a warming planet", he said, "it doesn't mean winter goes away and it's never cold again".

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